1. Marin cases - 15 in past 24 hours. (Marin HHS revised downward the number for ~Monday to 22, so there are 46 cases in the past three days)
The number in hospital is now 6 including 3 in ICU. (Those were 2 and 0, respectively, 24 hours ago).
About 630 tests per day across the county.
---
2. Across the state, daily case numbers continue to climb - it'll soon be commonplace to have 3,000 new case confirmations per day.
COVID deaths aren't rising as much, perhaps, with about 70 per day. (The State compiled data have a weekly pattern that reflects that some counties don't send in data over the weekend.)
---
3. Fatalities are heavily skewed toward older patients. The full data on COVID, state-wide, across the several months of COVID here show a rough Case Fatality Rate of 3.5% - that's the percentage of people who have died from it divided by the number of confirmed cases. But ... the cases tend to be of younger people - while this simple CFR estimate is a stunning 15.9% for the age cohort of 65 years old and above. Meaning: roughly 1/6 of those in that age group who get COVID die from it. (There are some ambiguities in my language that reflect ambiguities in the consequences, but these are solid estimates.)
---
Tomorrow, I'll look at Marin HHS and Larry Brilliant recent assessments of COVID projections.
---
Data sources: Marin HHS, the LA Times data project and the State COVID data project.
